← Süper Lig 2012-13 · Mon, Mar 11, 03:00 PM UTC
| Outcome | Market says | Model says | Best price | Verdict |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mersin Idman Yurdu win | 36% | 36% | 2.74 | fair |
| Kasimpasa win | 34% | 33% | 2.83 | fair |
| Draw | 30% | 31% | 3.26 | fair |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 0 | Half-time score | 1 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Mersin Idman Yurdu | Kasimpasa |
|---|---|---|
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.15 | 0.10 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 2.00 | 3.00 |
| elo | 1484.14 | 1546.85 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -24.38 | 9.52 |
| form points (last 5) | 1.00 | 7.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -1.00 | 0.00 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.40 | 1.00 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 0.40 | 1.00 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.99 | 1.03 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.40 | 0.60 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.30 | 0.20 |
| league points | 20.00 | 36.00 |
| league rank | 18.00 | 7.00 |
| matches since blank | 1.00 | 4.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 4.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since win | 5.00 | 0.00 |
| rest days | 8.00 | 7.00 |
| season ppg | 0.83 | 1.50 |
| state index | -0.57 | 0.08 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.80 | 0.80 |