← Süper Lig 2012-13 · Sat, Mar 2, 03:00 PM UTC
| Outcome | Market says | Model says | Best price | Verdict |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Orduspor win | 41% | 42% | 2.39 | fair |
| Kardemir Karabukspor win | 31% | 26% | 3.12 | fair |
| Draw | 28% | 32% | 3.47 | value: +10% |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 1 | Half-time score | 2 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Orduspor | Kardemir Karabukspor |
|---|---|---|
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.10 | 0.05 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| coach days | — | 244.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 3.00 | 3.00 |
| elo | 1549.32 | 1550.60 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -0.83 | -57.96 |
| form points (last 5) | 5.00 | 2.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -0.40 | -1.60 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.60 | 2.00 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.20 | 0.40 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.88 | 1.29 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.30 | 0.40 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.30 | 0.35 |
| league points | 26.00 | 29.00 |
| league rank | 15.00 | 12.00 |
| matches since blank | 2.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 2.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since win | 3.00 | 5.00 |
| rest days | 5.00 | 6.00 |
| season ppg | 1.13 | 1.26 |
| state index | -0.13 | -0.71 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.20 | 2.20 |