← Süper Lig 2012-13 · Mon, Feb 25, 03:00 PM UTC
| Outcome | Market says | Model says | Best price | Verdict |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Galatasaray win | 72% | 57% | 1.36 | fair |
| Draw | 19% | 28% | 5.27 | value: +47% |
| Orduspor win | 10% | 15% | 10.10 | value: +49% |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 0 | Half-time score | 2 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Galatasaray | Orduspor |
|---|---|---|
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.10 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 2.00 | 2.00 |
| elo | 1762.77 | 1554.60 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 0.48 | 0.94 |
| form points (last 5) | 10.00 | 6.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.60 | 0.00 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.00 | 1.00 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.60 | 1.00 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.85 | 0.79 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.60 | 0.40 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.45 | 0.30 |
| league points | 43.00 | 26.00 |
| league rank | 1.00 | 15.00 |
| matches since blank | 5.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 1.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since win | 0.00 | 2.00 |
| rest days | 10.00 | 8.00 |
| season ppg | 1.95 | 1.18 |
| state index | 1.07 | -0.04 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 2.00 | 0.60 |