← Süper Lig 2012-13 · Sun, Feb 24, 03:00 PM UTC
| Outcome | Market says | Model says | Best price | Verdict |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kardemir Karabukspor win | 49% | 52% | 1.99 | value: +4% |
| Draw | 27% | 28% | 3.61 | fair |
| Akhisarspor win | 24% | 20% | 4.09 | fair |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 0 | Half-time score | 2 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Kardemir Karabukspor | Akhisarspor |
|---|---|---|
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.15 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| coach days | 238.00 | 542.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 2.00 | 2.00 |
| elo | 1571.86 | 1477.54 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -15.17 | 6.42 |
| form points (last 5) | 5.00 | 4.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -0.80 | -0.20 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.80 | 1.20 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.00 | 1.00 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.23 | 0.67 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.50 | 0.50 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.35 | 0.20 |
| league points | 29.00 | 19.00 |
| league rank | 11.00 | 18.00 |
| matches since blank | 0.00 | 3.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 0.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since win | 4.00 | 1.00 |
| rest days | 8.00 | 9.00 |
| season ppg | 1.32 | 0.86 |
| state index | -0.24 | -0.23 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.20 | 0.60 |