← Süper Lig 2012-13 · Sun, Feb 24, 03:00 PM UTC
| Outcome | Market says | Model says | Best price | Verdict |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fenerbahce win | 62% | 65% | 1.56 | fair |
| Draw | 23% | 22% | 4.32 | fair |
| Kasimpasa win | 15% | 14% | 6.49 | fair |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 0 | Half-time score | 1 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Fenerbahce | Kasimpasa |
|---|---|---|
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.05 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| coach days | 207.00 | — |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 3.00 | 2.00 |
| elo | 1735.26 | 1535.55 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 6.92 | 38.40 |
| form points (last 5) | 10.00 | 10.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.80 | 0.80 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.00 | 0.60 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.80 | 1.40 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.03 | 1.03 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 1.20 | 0.80 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.60 | 0.40 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.25 | 0.15 |
| league points | 37.00 | 33.00 |
| league rank | 3.00 | 7.00 |
| matches since blank | 16.00 | 2.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since win | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| rest days | 7.00 | 6.00 |
| season ppg | 1.68 | 1.50 |
| state index | 0.92 | 0.56 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.40 | 1.40 |