← Süper Lig 2011-12 · Sun, Apr 8, 02:00 PM UTC
| Outcome | Market says | Model says | Best price | Verdict |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Trabzonspor win | 64% | 44% | 1.44 | fair |
| Draw | 22% | 33% | 4.20 | value: +38% |
| Orduspor win | 14% | 23% | 7.00 | value: +63% |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 0 | Half-time score | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Orduspor | Trabzonspor |
|---|---|---|
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.10 | 0.10 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| coach days | — | 859.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.05 |
| congestion 21d | 2.00 | 2.00 |
| elo | 1533.20 | 1739.14 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -8.04 | 15.09 |
| form points (last 5) | 3.00 | 9.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -0.60 | 0.40 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.00 | 1.00 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 0.40 | 1.40 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.03 | 0.99 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.10 | 1.40 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.25 | 0.45 |
| league points | 41.00 | 55.00 |
| league rank | 14.00 | 4.00 |
| matches since blank | 0.00 | 17.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 1.00 | 10.00 |
| matches since win | 5.00 | 3.00 |
| rest days | 8.00 | 7.00 |
| season ppg | 1.24 | 1.67 |
| state index | -0.14 | 0.82 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 2.20 | 1.20 |