← Süper Lig 2011-12 · Sat, Apr 7, 02:00 PM UTC
| Outcome | Market says | Model says | Best price | Verdict |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Samsunspor win | 38% | 39% | 2.40 | fair |
| Sivasspor win | 34% | 35% | 2.80 | fair |
| Draw | 28% | 27% | 3.40 | fair |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 1 | Half-time score | 1 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Samsunspor | Sivasspor |
|---|---|---|
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.10 | 0.15 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| coach days | 281.00 | 554.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 3.00 | 3.00 |
| elo | 1536.46 | 1587.83 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 39.77 | -22.91 |
| form points (last 5) | 10.00 | 4.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.60 | -0.80 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 0.40 | 1.80 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.00 | 1.00 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.27 | 1.57 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.80 | 1.00 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.35 | 0.50 |
| league points | 36.00 | 47.00 |
| league rank | 16.00 | 10.00 |
| matches since blank | 2.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 0.00 | 13.00 |
| matches since win | 0.00 | 1.00 |
| rest days | 6.00 | 7.00 |
| season ppg | 1.09 | 1.42 |
| state index | 0.60 | -0.12 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 2.00 | 1.40 |