← Süper Lig 2011-12 · Sat, Apr 7, 02:00 PM UTC
| Outcome | Market says | Model says | Best price | Verdict |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Buyuksehyr win | 47% | 44% | 2.05 | fair |
| Draw | 28% | 27% | 3.40 | fair |
| Genclerbirligi win | 26% | 30% | 3.75 | value: +11% |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 0 | Half-time score | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Buyuksehyr | Genclerbirligi |
|---|---|---|
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.10 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| coach days | — | 97.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 3.00 | 2.00 |
| elo | 1569.79 | 1600.45 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -6.29 | -3.13 |
| form points (last 5) | 7.00 | 5.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -1.00 | -0.80 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.80 | 1.80 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 0.80 | 1.00 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.27 | 1.18 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 1.00 | 1.00 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.00 | 1.00 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.25 | 0.30 |
| league points | 47.00 | 49.00 |
| league rank | 9.00 | 5.00 |
| matches since blank | 2.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since win | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| rest days | 7.00 | 7.00 |
| season ppg | 1.42 | 1.48 |
| state index | 0.09 | 0.07 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 2.20 | 0.80 |