← Süper Lig 2011-12 · Sun, Mar 25, 02:00 PM UTC
| Outcome | Market says | Model says | Best price | Verdict |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Orduspor win | 44% | 38% | 2.10 | fair |
| Draw | 29% | 32% | 3.25 | value: +4% |
| Genclerbirligi win | 27% | 30% | 3.50 | value: +6% |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 0 | Half-time score | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Orduspor | Genclerbirligi |
|---|---|---|
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.10 | 0.10 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| coach days | — | 84.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 2.00 | 2.00 |
| elo | 1538.35 | 1591.05 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -0.82 | -20.30 |
| form points (last 5) | 5.00 | 2.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -0.20 | -1.60 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 0.80 | 3.00 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 0.60 | 1.40 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.14 | 0.97 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.20 | 1.10 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.25 | 0.25 |
| league points | 40.00 | 45.00 |
| league rank | 13.00 | 8.00 |
| matches since blank | 2.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 3.00 | 7.00 |
| matches since win | 3.00 | 6.00 |
| rest days | 7.96 | 8.96 |
| season ppg | 1.29 | 1.45 |
| state index | 0.16 | -0.51 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 2.60 | 0.80 |