← Süper Lig 2011-12 · Sun, Mar 25, 02:00 PM UTC
| Outcome | Market says | Model says | Best price | Verdict |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Antalyaspor win | 68% | 42% | 1.30 | fair |
| Draw | 21% | 29% | 4.33 | value: +27% |
| Ankaragücü win | 11% | 28% | 8.00 | value: +127% ⚠ |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 0 | Half-time score | 2 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Ankaragücü | Antalyaspor |
|---|---|---|
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| coach days | 633.00 | 1240.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 2.00 | 2.00 |
| elo | 1376.57 | 1527.84 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -38.85 | -37.70 |
| form points (last 5) | 0.00 | 4.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -2.00 | -1.20 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 3.00 | 1.80 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.00 | 0.60 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.85 | 0.88 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.20 | 0.60 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.20 | 0.80 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.10 |
| league points | 11.00 | 36.00 |
| league rank | 18.00 | 15.00 |
| matches since blank | 1.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 12.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since win | 13.00 | 4.00 |
| rest days | 7.96 | 7.96 |
| season ppg | 0.35 | 1.16 |
| state index | -1.89 | -0.79 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 0.00 | 0.20 |