← Süper Lig 2011-12 · Sat, Mar 17, 03:00 PM UTC
| Outcome | Market says | Model says | Best price | Verdict |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sivasspor win | 49% | 46% | 1.91 | fair |
| Draw | 27% | 29% | 3.50 | fair |
| Orduspor win | 24% | 25% | 4.00 | fair |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 1 | Half-time score | 1 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Sivasspor | Orduspor |
|---|---|---|
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.25 | 0.10 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| coach days | 533.00 | — |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 3.00 | 2.00 |
| elo | 1590.77 | 1535.14 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -24.34 | 5.56 |
| form points (last 5) | 2.00 | 7.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -1.40 | 0.00 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 2.80 | 1.00 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.40 | 1.00 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.40 | 1.20 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 1.00 | 0.20 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.60 | 0.25 |
| league points | 43.00 | 39.00 |
| league rank | 9.00 | 11.00 |
| matches since blank | 1.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 10.00 | 2.00 |
| matches since win | 5.00 | 2.00 |
| rest days | 5.00 | 6.00 |
| season ppg | 1.43 | 1.30 |
| state index | -0.38 | -0.02 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.60 | 0.80 |