← Süper Lig 2011-12 · Sun, Feb 19, 03:00 PM UTC
| Outcome | Market says | Model says | Best price | Verdict |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Trabzonspor win | 43% | 43% | 2.20 | fair |
| Draw | 30% | 30% | 3.20 | fair |
| Kayserispor win | 27% | 27% | 3.60 | fair |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 2 | Half-time score | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Kayserispor | Trabzonspor |
|---|---|---|
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.00 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| coach days | 598.00 | 810.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 4.00 | 4.00 |
| elo | 1565.64 | 1744.10 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 10.65 | 16.98 |
| form points (last 5) | 7.00 | 12.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.00 | 2.00 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.20 | 1.00 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.20 | 3.00 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.05 | 1.32 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.40 | 1.60 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.40 | 0.60 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.35 | 0.40 |
| league points | 33.00 | 45.00 |
| league rank | 13.00 | 4.00 |
| matches since blank | 0.00 | 10.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 3.00 | 3.00 |
| matches since win | 3.00 | 0.00 |
| rest days | 8.00 | 9.00 |
| season ppg | 1.27 | 1.73 |
| state index | 0.08 | 1.19 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.40 | 1.20 |