← Süper Lig 2011-12 · Sun, Feb 19, 03:00 PM UTC
| Outcome | Market says | Model says | Best price | Verdict |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Besiktas win | 56% | 58% | 1.67 | fair |
| Draw | 26% | 25% | 3.60 | fair |
| Genclerbirligi win | 18% | 16% | 5.25 | fair |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 0 | Half-time score | 1 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Besiktas | Genclerbirligi |
|---|---|---|
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.15 | 0.00 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| coach days | 202.00 | 49.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.05 |
| congestion 21d | 4.00 | 3.00 |
| elo | 1691.62 | 1611.35 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -33.84 | 3.16 |
| form points (last 5) | 4.00 | 8.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -0.60 | 0.20 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.40 | 1.60 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 0.80 | 1.80 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.23 | 1.03 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.80 | 0.90 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.60 | 0.40 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.45 | 0.15 |
| league points | 46.00 | 43.00 |
| league rank | 3.00 | 5.00 |
| matches since blank | 1.00 | 13.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 7.00 | 2.00 |
| matches since win | 4.00 | 1.00 |
| rest days | 10.00 | 8.00 |
| season ppg | 1.77 | 1.65 |
| state index | 0.16 | 0.45 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 2.40 | 2.00 |