← Süper Lig 2011-12 · Sun, Feb 12, 03:00 PM UTC
| Outcome | Market says | Model says | Best price | Verdict |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Buyuksehyr win | 72% | 50% | 1.30 | fair |
| Draw | 19% | 27% | 5.00 | value: +33% |
| Ankaragücü win | 9% | 23% | 10.00 | value: +130% |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 1 | Half-time score | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Buyuksehyr | Ankaragücü |
|---|---|---|
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.00 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| coach days | — | 591.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 4.00 | 5.00 |
| elo | 1557.60 | 1424.07 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 22.95 | -39.99 |
| form points (last 5) | 10.00 | 0.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.40 | -2.40 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 2.20 | 2.40 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 2.60 | 0.00 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.43 | 0.63 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.60 | 0.10 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.50 | 0.50 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.25 | 0.10 |
| league points | 34.00 | 11.00 |
| league rank | 8.00 | 18.00 |
| matches since blank | 5.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 11.00 | 6.00 |
| matches since win | 2.00 | 7.00 |
| rest days | 3.00 | 6.00 |
| season ppg | 1.36 | 0.44 |
| state index | 0.30 | -1.59 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.60 | 0.60 |