← Süper Lig 2011-12 · Sat, Feb 11, 03:00 PM UTC
| Outcome | Market says | Model says | Best price | Verdict |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Genclerbirligi win | 50% | 41% | 1.83 | fair |
| Draw | 27% | 32% | 3.50 | value: +13% |
| Mersin Idman Yurdu win | 23% | 27% | 4.33 | value: +17% |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 0 | Half-time score | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Genclerbirligi | Mersin Idman Yurdu |
|---|---|---|
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| coach days | 41.00 | — |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.05 |
| congestion 21d | 5.00 | 4.00 |
| elo | 1626.03 | 1509.82 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 25.67 | -21.67 |
| form points (last 5) | 11.00 | 3.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.60 | -1.20 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.20 | 2.00 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.80 | 0.80 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.03 | 1.49 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.90 | 0.70 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.20 | 0.10 |
| league points | 43.00 | 30.00 |
| league rank | 5.00 | 12.00 |
| matches since blank | 12.00 | 4.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 1.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since win | 0.00 | 1.00 |
| rest days | 6.00 | 6.00 |
| season ppg | 1.72 | 1.20 |
| state index | 0.72 | -0.52 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 2.20 | 1.20 |