← Süper Lig 2011-12 · Sat, Feb 4, 03:00 PM UTC
| Outcome | Market says | Model says | Best price | Verdict |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Trabzonspor win | 43% | 45% | 2.20 | fair |
| Antalyaspor win | 29% | 24% | 3.20 | fair |
| Draw | 28% | 31% | 3.40 | value: +5% |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 1 | Half-time score | 1 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Antalyaspor | Trabzonspor |
|---|---|---|
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.00 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| coach days | 1190.00 | 795.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 5.00 | 5.00 |
| elo | 1561.59 | 1749.63 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 7.82 | 11.88 |
| form points (last 5) | 5.00 | 12.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.00 | 2.20 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.40 | 0.80 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.40 | 3.00 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.74 | 1.51 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.50 | 1.40 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.40 | 0.60 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.20 | 0.35 |
| league points | 29.00 | 42.00 |
| league rank | 12.00 | 4.00 |
| matches since blank | 6.00 | 8.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 4.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since win | 4.00 | 0.00 |
| rest days | 3.00 | 3.00 |
| season ppg | 1.21 | 1.75 |
| state index | -0.02 | 1.19 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.60 | 1.40 |