← Süper Lig 2011-12 · Wed, Feb 1, 03:00 PM UTC
| Outcome | Market says | Model says | Best price | Verdict |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Galatasaray win | 70% | 56% | 1.33 | fair |
| Draw | 20% | 27% | 4.75 | value: +29% |
| Antalyaspor win | 10% | 17% | 10.00 | value: +67% |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 1 | Half-time score | 1 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Galatasaray | Antalyaspor |
|---|---|---|
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.05 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| coach days | — | 1187.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 4.00 | 4.00 |
| elo | 1714.12 | 1556.02 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 5.73 | 11.26 |
| form points (last 5) | 10.00 | 7.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 1.80 | 0.20 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 0.80 | 1.20 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 2.60 | 1.40 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.78 | 0.79 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 1.60 | 0.50 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.50 | 0.50 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.50 | 0.20 |
| league points | 50.00 | 28.00 |
| league rank | 1.00 | 12.00 |
| matches since blank | 0.00 | 5.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 1.00 | 3.00 |
| matches since win | 1.00 | 3.00 |
| rest days | 4.00 | 4.00 |
| season ppg | 2.17 | 1.22 |
| state index | 1.22 | -0.02 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 3.00 | 0.80 |