← Süper Lig 2011-12 · Sun, Jan 29, 03:00 PM UTC
| Outcome | Market says | Model says | Best price | Verdict |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Eskisehirspor win | 54% | 46% | 1.73 | fair |
| Draw | 28% | 35% | 3.40 | value: +18% |
| Orduspor win | 19% | 20% | 5.25 | fair |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 0 | Half-time score | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Eskisehirspor | Orduspor |
|---|---|---|
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.15 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 4.00 | 4.00 |
| elo | 1592.88 | 1501.53 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -27.84 | 12.80 |
| form points (last 5) | 2.00 | 8.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -1.20 | 0.00 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.80 | 1.00 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 0.60 | 1.00 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.48 | 0.88 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.50 | 0.40 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.20 | 0.30 |
| league points | 32.00 | 25.00 |
| league rank | 8.00 | 15.00 |
| matches since blank | 1.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 1.00 | 2.00 |
| matches since win | 6.00 | 0.00 |
| rest days | 4.00 | 4.00 |
| season ppg | 1.45 | 1.14 |
| state index | -0.35 | -0.19 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 2.20 | 0.20 |