← Süper Lig 2010-11 · Sun, May 22, 02:00 PM UTC
| Outcome | Market says | Model says | Best price | Verdict |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Trabzonspor win | 75% | 53% | 1.25 | fair |
| Draw | 16% | 26% | 6.00 | value: +57% |
| Kardemir Karabukspor win | 10% | 21% | 12.00 | value: +150% |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 0 | Half-time score | 1 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Kardemir Karabukspor | Trabzonspor |
|---|---|---|
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.05 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| coach days | 690.00 | 537.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.10 |
| congestion 21d | 3.00 | 3.00 |
| elo | 1533.89 | 1788.30 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 4.24 | 20.60 |
| form points (last 5) | 7.00 | 13.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -0.20 | 1.40 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.00 | 0.40 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 0.80 | 1.80 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.10 | 0.97 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.50 | 0.60 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.15 | 0.50 |
| league points | 44.00 | 79.00 |
| league rank | 9.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since blank | 1.00 | 3.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 2.00 | 2.00 |
| matches since win | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| rest days | 9.00 | 7.00 |
| season ppg | 1.33 | 2.39 |
| state index | 0.07 | 1.55 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.40 | 2.60 |