← Süper Lig 2010-11 · Sun, May 22, 02:00 PM UTC
| Outcome | Market says | Model says | Best price | Verdict |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Eskisehirspor win | 58% | 58% | 1.57 | fair |
| Draw | 24% | 25% | 3.80 | fair |
| Kasimpasa win | 17% | 17% | 5.50 | fair |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 1 | Half-time score | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Eskisehirspor | Kasimpasa |
|---|---|---|
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.15 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 3.00 | 2.00 |
| elo | 1578.50 | 1436.05 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -35.92 | -10.44 |
| form points (last 5) | 2.00 | 3.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -1.00 | -1.00 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 2.00 | 2.00 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.00 | 1.00 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.63 | 0.99 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.40 | 0.70 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.15 | 0.25 |
| league points | 44.00 | 23.00 |
| league rank | 8.00 | 18.00 |
| matches since blank | 3.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 3.00 | 7.00 |
| matches since win | 7.00 | 6.00 |
| rest days | 6.00 | 7.00 |
| season ppg | 1.33 | 0.70 |
| state index | -0.55 | -0.81 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.40 | 1.00 |