← Süper Lig 2010-11 · Sat, May 21, 02:00 PM UTC
| Outcome | Market says | Model says | Best price | Verdict |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ankaragücü win | 43% | 41% | 2.15 | fair |
| Antalyaspor win | 29% | 31% | 3.25 | fair |
| Draw | 28% | 29% | 3.40 | fair |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 0 | Half-time score | 3 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Ankaragücü | Antalyaspor |
|---|---|---|
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.10 | 0.15 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| coach days | 324.00 | 931.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.10 | 0.05 |
| congestion 21d | 3.00 | 3.00 |
| elo | 1556.32 | 1538.87 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 24.05 | -22.24 |
| form points (last 5) | 8.00 | 3.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -0.20 | -0.40 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 2.20 | 2.00 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 2.00 | 1.60 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.73 | 1.25 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 1.30 | 1.20 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.20 | 0.80 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.25 | 0.25 |
| league points | 41.00 | 39.00 |
| league rank | 12.00 | 14.00 |
| matches since blank | 0.00 | 7.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 2.00 | 6.00 |
| matches since win | 3.00 | 5.00 |
| rest days | 6.00 | 8.00 |
| season ppg | 1.24 | 1.18 |
| state index | 0.20 | -0.34 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.60 | 1.60 |