← Süper Lig 2010-11 · Sun, May 1, 02:00 PM UTC
| Outcome | Market says | Model says | Best price | Verdict |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Trabzonspor win | 62% | 56% | 1.50 | fair |
| Draw | 24% | 27% | 4.00 | value: +7% |
| Gaziantep win | 14% | 17% | 6.50 | value: +10% |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 3 | Half-time score | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Trabzonspor | Gaziantep |
|---|---|---|
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.05 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| coach days | 516.00 | 264.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.10 | 0.05 |
| congestion 21d | 3.00 | 3.00 |
| elo | 1771.90 | 1631.27 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 18.08 | 10.14 |
| form points (last 5) | 13.00 | 9.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.80 | 0.60 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 0.20 | 1.60 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.00 | 2.20 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.97 | 1.32 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 1.10 | 1.10 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.50 | 0.50 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.40 | 0.40 |
| league points | 70.00 | 52.00 |
| league rank | 2.00 | 4.00 |
| matches since blank | 0.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 0.00 | 9.00 |
| matches since win | 1.00 | 0.00 |
| rest days | 9.00 | 7.00 |
| season ppg | 2.33 | 1.73 |
| state index | 1.26 | 0.56 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 2.20 | 1.20 |