← Süper Lig 2010-11 · Sun, Apr 24, 02:00 PM UTC
| Outcome | Market says | Model says | Best price | Verdict |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Buyuksehyr win | 42% | 47% | 2.20 | fair |
| Ankaragücü win | 29% | 26% | 3.25 | fair |
| Draw | 29% | 28% | 3.25 | fair |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 0 | Half-time score | 2 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Buyuksehyr | Ankaragücü |
|---|---|---|
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.10 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| coach days | — | 297.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.10 |
| congestion 21d | 3.00 | 2.00 |
| elo | 1575.35 | 1541.57 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -21.11 | 21.30 |
| form points (last 5) | 6.00 | 8.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -0.60 | 0.40 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.80 | 2.00 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.20 | 2.40 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.16 | 1.37 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 1.10 | 1.30 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.40 | 0.60 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.15 | 0.20 |
| league points | 40.00 | 36.00 |
| league rank | 9.00 | 13.00 |
| matches since blank | 4.00 | 3.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 0.00 | 3.00 |
| matches since win | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| rest days | 8.00 | 8.00 |
| season ppg | 1.38 | 1.24 |
| state index | -0.09 | 0.29 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.20 | 0.80 |