← Süper Lig 2010-11 · Sat, Apr 23, 02:00 PM UTC
| Outcome | Market says | Model says | Best price | Verdict |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bursaspor win | 59% | 62% | 1.57 | fair |
| Draw | 25% | 25% | 3.80 | fair |
| Manisaspor win | 15% | 14% | 6.00 | fair |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 2 | Half-time score | 1 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Bursaspor | Manisaspor |
|---|---|---|
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.15 | 0.10 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| coach days | 842.00 | — |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 3.00 | 3.00 |
| elo | 1713.17 | 1502.50 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -29.83 | -42.63 |
| form points (last 5) | 3.00 | 2.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -0.40 | -1.00 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.00 | 1.40 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 0.60 | 0.40 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.82 | 1.32 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.40 | 0.70 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.90 | 0.10 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.35 | 0.30 |
| league points | 52.00 | 36.00 |
| league rank | 3.00 | 13.00 |
| matches since blank | 0.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 2.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since win | 6.00 | 5.00 |
| rest days | 6.00 | 5.00 |
| season ppg | 1.79 | 1.24 |
| state index | 0.04 | -0.76 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.00 | 1.40 |