← Süper Lig 2010-11 · Sun, Apr 17, 02:00 PM UTC
| Outcome | Market says | Model says | Best price | Verdict |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kayserispor win | 61% | 61% | 1.55 | fair |
| Draw | 25% | 26% | 3.80 | fair |
| Konyaspor win | 14% | 13% | 7.00 | fair |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 0 | Half-time score | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Kayserispor | Konyaspor |
|---|---|---|
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.00 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| coach days | 290.00 | 716.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 2.00 | 2.00 |
| elo | 1566.17 | 1424.87 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -78.28 | -16.80 |
| form points (last 5) | 0.00 | 2.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -1.80 | -1.00 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 2.80 | 1.00 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.00 | 0.00 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.03 | 0.67 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 1.00 | 0.20 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.70 | 0.30 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.15 | 0.00 |
| league points | 43.00 | 18.00 |
| league rank | 7.00 | 18.00 |
| matches since blank | 3.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 6.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since win | 6.00 | 13.00 |
| rest days | 7.00 | 8.00 |
| season ppg | 1.54 | 0.64 |
| state index | -0.90 | -1.38 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.80 | 0.00 |