← Süper Lig 2010-11 · Sun, Apr 17, 02:00 PM UTC
| Outcome | Market says | Model says | Best price | Verdict |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Antalyaspor win | 38% | 33% | 2.50 | fair |
| Eskisehirspor win | 33% | 33% | 2.88 | fair |
| Draw | 29% | 34% | 3.30 | value: +11% |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 1 | Half-time score | 1 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Antalyaspor | Eskisehirspor |
|---|---|---|
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.10 | 0.00 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| coach days | 897.00 | — |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.05 |
| congestion 21d | 2.00 | 2.00 |
| elo | 1561.11 | 1614.42 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 39.82 | 17.86 |
| form points (last 5) | 11.00 | 10.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 1.00 | 0.40 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 0.80 | 1.00 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.80 | 1.40 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.37 | 0.52 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.80 | 0.80 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.20 | 0.80 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.25 | 0.20 |
| league points | 36.00 | 42.00 |
| league rank | 11.00 | 7.00 |
| matches since blank | 2.00 | 15.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 1.00 | 2.00 |
| matches since win | 0.00 | 2.00 |
| rest days | 9.00 | 8.00 |
| season ppg | 1.29 | 1.50 |
| state index | 0.61 | 0.52 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 0.80 | 1.40 |