← Süper Lig 2010-11 · Sat, Apr 16, 02:00 PM UTC
| Outcome | Market says | Model says | Best price | Verdict |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kardemir Karabukspor win | 45% | 45% | 2.05 | fair |
| Draw | 28% | 26% | 3.40 | fair |
| Buyuksehyr win | 27% | 29% | 3.60 | value: +5% |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 0 | Half-time score | 1 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Kardemir Karabukspor | Buyuksehyr |
|---|---|---|
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| coach days | 654.00 | — |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.05 |
| congestion 21d | 2.00 | 2.00 |
| elo | 1529.65 | 1559.03 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 2.12 | -31.87 |
| form points (last 5) | 5.00 | 4.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -0.20 | -1.00 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.20 | 2.00 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.00 | 1.00 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.14 | 1.16 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.50 | 1.10 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.15 | 0.15 |
| league points | 37.00 | 37.00 |
| league rank | 8.00 | 9.00 |
| matches since blank | 2.00 | 3.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 4.00 | 6.00 |
| matches since win | 1.00 | 1.00 |
| rest days | 7.00 | 6.00 |
| season ppg | 1.32 | 1.32 |
| state index | 0.08 | -0.33 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.60 | 1.00 |