← Süper Lig 2010-11 · Sat, Apr 16, 02:00 PM UTC
| Outcome | Market says | Model says | Best price | Verdict |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fenerbahce win | 61% | 63% | 1.53 | fair |
| Draw | 23% | 23% | 4.00 | fair |
| Gaziantep win | 16% | 14% | 6.50 | fair |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 0 | Half-time score | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Fenerbahce | Gaziantep |
|---|---|---|
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.10 | 0.05 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| coach days | 319.00 | 249.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.05 |
| congestion 21d | 2.00 | 2.00 |
| elo | 1822.83 | 1628.44 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 20.61 | 1.40 |
| form points (last 5) | 13.00 | 9.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 1.40 | 0.80 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 0.80 | 1.80 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 2.20 | 2.60 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.17 | 1.16 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 1.40 | 1.10 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.30 | 0.70 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.60 | 0.40 |
| league points | 64.00 | 49.00 |
| league rank | 2.00 | 4.00 |
| matches since blank | 1.00 | 13.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 1.00 | 7.00 |
| matches since win | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| rest days | 7.00 | 6.00 |
| season ppg | 2.29 | 1.75 |
| state index | 1.72 | 0.67 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 2.60 | 1.80 |