← Süper Lig 2010-11 · Sun, Apr 3, 02:00 PM UTC
| Outcome | Market says | Model says | Best price | Verdict |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Buyuksehyr win | 50% | 60% | 1.85 | value: +12% |
| Draw | 28% | 26% | 3.30 | fair |
| Bucaspor win | 22% | 14% | 4.33 | fair |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 0 | Half-time score | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Buyuksehyr | Bucaspor |
|---|---|---|
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.05 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 1.00 | 2.00 |
| elo | 1566.59 | 1447.40 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -11.74 | -23.15 |
| form points (last 5) | 5.00 | 3.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -0.60 | -1.40 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.60 | 1.80 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.00 | 0.40 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.23 | 1.49 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 1.00 | 0.40 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.15 | 0.20 |
| league points | 34.00 | 21.00 |
| league rank | 10.00 | 16.00 |
| matches since blank | 1.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 4.00 | 7.00 |
| matches since win | 3.00 | 1.00 |
| rest days | 14.96 | 13.96 |
| season ppg | 1.31 | 0.81 |
| state index | -0.08 | -0.88 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.20 | 0.00 |