← Süper Lig 2010-11 · Sat, Apr 2, 02:00 PM UTC
| Outcome | Market says | Model says | Best price | Verdict |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ankaragücü win | 37% | 33% | 2.50 | fair |
| Eskisehirspor win | 32% | 36% | 2.88 | fair |
| Draw | 30% | 31% | 3.10 | fair |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 1 | Half-time score | 1 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Ankaragücü | Eskisehirspor |
|---|---|---|
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.10 | 0.00 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| coach days | 275.00 | — |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.05 |
| congestion 21d | 2.00 | 2.00 |
| elo | 1537.57 | 1624.88 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 2.48 | 25.76 |
| form points (last 5) | 7.00 | 12.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.00 | 0.80 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.60 | 0.60 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.60 | 1.40 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.84 | 0.52 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.90 | 0.90 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.80 | 0.20 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.25 | 0.25 |
| league points | 32.00 | 41.00 |
| league rank | 12.00 | 6.00 |
| matches since blank | 0.00 | 13.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since win | 1.00 | 0.00 |
| rest days | 11.96 | 12.96 |
| season ppg | 1.23 | 1.58 |
| state index | 0.18 | 0.85 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.80 | 1.80 |