← Süper Lig 2010-11 · Mon, Mar 21, 03:00 PM UTC
| Outcome | Market says | Model says | Best price | Verdict |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bursaspor win | 59% | 65% | 1.60 | value: +4% |
| Draw | 26% | 22% | 3.70 | fair |
| Ankaragücü win | 16% | 12% | 6.50 | fair |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 0 | Half-time score | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Bursaspor | Ankaragücü |
|---|---|---|
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.10 | 0.10 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| coach days | 809.00 | 263.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.05 |
| congestion 21d | 2.00 | 2.00 |
| elo | 1738.90 | 1531.09 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -34.11 | 8.80 |
| form points (last 5) | 6.00 | 9.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -0.20 | 0.20 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.40 | 1.60 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.20 | 1.80 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.34 | 0.70 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.60 | 1.10 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.80 | 0.20 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.40 | 0.25 |
| league points | 50.00 | 31.00 |
| league rank | 3.00 | 12.00 |
| matches since blank | 7.00 | 13.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 2.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since win | 2.00 | 0.00 |
| rest days | 9.00 | 8.00 |
| season ppg | 2.00 | 1.24 |
| state index | 0.54 | 0.16 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 2.00 | 1.00 |