← Süper Lig 2010-11 · Sat, Mar 19, 03:00 PM UTC
| Outcome | Market says | Model says | Best price | Verdict |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Gaziantep win | 52% | 42% | 1.83 | fair |
| Draw | 28% | 32% | 3.40 | value: +7% |
| Buyuksehyr win | 21% | 27% | 4.75 | value: +27% |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 2 | Half-time score | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Gaziantep | Buyuksehyr |
|---|---|---|
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.10 | 0.00 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| coach days | 221.00 | — |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.05 |
| congestion 21d | 3.00 | 3.00 |
| elo | 1621.13 | 1579.10 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 39.63 | -13.10 |
| form points (last 5) | 12.00 | 5.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 1.20 | -0.20 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.00 | 1.00 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 2.20 | 0.80 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.03 | 1.23 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.80 | 0.90 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.20 | 0.80 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.50 | 0.15 |
| league points | 43.00 | 34.00 |
| league rank | 4.00 | 10.00 |
| matches since blank | 10.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 4.00 | 3.00 |
| matches since win | 1.00 | 2.00 |
| rest days | 6.00 | 7.00 |
| season ppg | 1.72 | 1.36 |
| state index | 1.06 | -0.06 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 2.60 | 1.00 |