← Süper Lig 2010-11 · Sat, Mar 19, 03:00 PM UTC
| Outcome | Market says | Model says | Best price | Verdict |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Besiktas win | 52% | 44% | 1.80 | fair |
| Draw | 27% | 31% | 3.50 | value: +9% |
| Kayserispor win | 21% | 25% | 4.50 | value: +12% |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 0 | Half-time score | 1 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Besiktas | Kayserispor |
|---|---|---|
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.00 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| coach days | 899.00 | 261.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.05 |
| congestion 21d | 3.00 | 3.00 |
| elo | 1658.00 | 1617.45 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -24.20 | -20.72 |
| form points (last 5) | 4.00 | 4.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -0.40 | -0.40 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.40 | 1.60 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.00 | 1.20 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.49 | 1.25 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.90 | 1.00 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.40 | 0.60 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.25 | 0.15 |
| league points | 36.00 | 43.00 |
| league rank | 7.00 | 5.00 |
| matches since blank | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 0.00 | 3.00 |
| matches since win | 2.00 | 3.00 |
| rest days | 8.00 | 6.00 |
| season ppg | 1.44 | 1.72 |
| state index | 0.08 | -0.17 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.00 | 0.40 |