← Süper Lig 2010-11 · Sun, Mar 13, 03:00 PM UTC
| Outcome | Market says | Model says | Best price | Verdict |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kayserispor win | 38% | 42% | 2.45 | fair |
| Sivasspor win | 32% | 29% | 3.00 | fair |
| Draw | 30% | 30% | 3.20 | fair |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 1 | Half-time score | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Sivasspor | Kayserispor |
|---|---|---|
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.00 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| coach days | 163.00 | 255.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.05 |
| congestion 21d | 2.00 | 3.00 |
| elo | 1485.82 | 1629.82 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -4.95 | -2.77 |
| form points (last 5) | 3.00 | 7.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -0.60 | 0.00 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 2.40 | 1.60 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.80 | 1.60 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.14 | 1.18 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.80 | 1.10 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.30 | 0.70 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.15 | 0.15 |
| league points | 19.00 | 43.00 |
| league rank | 16.00 | 5.00 |
| matches since blank | 6.00 | 3.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 8.00 | 2.00 |
| matches since win | 1.00 | 2.00 |
| rest days | 8.00 | 9.00 |
| season ppg | 0.79 | 1.79 |
| state index | -0.13 | 0.13 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 2.00 | 0.40 |