← Süper Lig 2010-11 · Sun, Mar 13, 03:00 PM UTC
| Outcome | Market says | Model says | Best price | Verdict |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fenerbahce win | 78% | 79% | 1.18 | fair |
| Draw | 15% | 15% | 6.50 | fair |
| Konyaspor win | 7% | 7% | 13.00 | fair |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 1 | Half-time score | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Fenerbahce | Konyaspor |
|---|---|---|
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.15 | 0.00 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| coach days | 285.00 | 681.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 3.00 | 3.00 |
| elo | 1809.06 | 1426.83 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 36.89 | -40.42 |
| form points (last 5) | 15.00 | 1.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 2.00 | -1.20 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.00 | 1.80 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 3.00 | 0.60 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.14 | 0.85 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 1.20 | 0.30 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 1.00 | 0.00 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.70 | 0.00 |
| league points | 54.00 | 16.00 |
| league rank | 2.00 | 17.00 |
| matches since blank | 15.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 1.00 | 2.00 |
| matches since win | 0.00 | 9.00 |
| rest days | 6.00 | 8.00 |
| season ppg | 2.25 | 0.67 |
| state index | 1.93 | -1.42 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 3.00 | 0.20 |