← Süper Lig 2010-11 · Sun, Mar 13, 03:00 PM UTC
| Outcome | Market says | Model says | Best price | Verdict |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Antalyaspor win | 43% | 45% | 2.15 | fair |
| Draw | 29% | 31% | 3.25 | fair |
| Genclerbirligi win | 28% | 24% | 3.40 | fair |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 0 | Half-time score | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Antalyaspor | Genclerbirligi |
|---|---|---|
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.10 | 0.10 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| coach days | 862.00 | 862.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 3.00 | 2.00 |
| elo | 1530.32 | 1523.43 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -28.33 | 20.31 |
| form points (last 5) | 4.00 | 9.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -1.20 | 0.20 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 2.00 | 1.80 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 0.80 | 2.00 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.03 | 1.08 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.40 | 0.80 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 1.00 | 0.00 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.20 | 0.25 |
| league points | 28.00 | 27.00 |
| league rank | 13.00 | 14.00 |
| matches since blank | 1.00 | 6.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 4.00 | 3.00 |
| matches since win | 0.00 | 1.00 |
| rest days | 7.00 | 6.00 |
| season ppg | 1.17 | 1.13 |
| state index | -0.47 | 0.34 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 0.80 | 2.00 |