← Süper Lig 2010-11 · Fri, Mar 11, 03:00 PM UTC
| Outcome | Market says | Model says | Best price | Verdict |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Besiktas win | 46% | 44% | 2.00 | fair |
| Draw | 27% | 29% | 3.50 | fair |
| Manisaspor win | 27% | 27% | 3.60 | fair |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 0 | Half-time score | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Manisaspor | Besiktas |
|---|---|---|
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.10 | 0.05 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| coach days | — | 891.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 3.00 | 3.00 |
| elo | 1545.13 | 1659.56 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 6.89 | -28.28 |
| form points (last 5) | 6.00 | 4.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -0.20 | -0.40 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 2.20 | 1.60 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 2.00 | 1.20 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.20 | 1.43 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 1.20 | 1.00 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.30 | 0.70 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.45 | 0.25 |
| league points | 34.00 | 35.00 |
| league rank | 8.00 | 6.00 |
| matches since blank | 11.00 | 3.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 7.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since win | 0.00 | 1.00 |
| rest days | 7.00 | 5.00 |
| season ppg | 1.42 | 1.46 |
| state index | 0.20 | 0.14 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.80 | 1.20 |