← Süper Lig 2010-11 · Mon, Mar 7, 03:00 PM UTC
| Outcome | Market says | Model says | Best price | Verdict |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fenerbahce win | 55% | 59% | 1.70 | fair |
| Draw | 26% | 24% | 3.60 | fair |
| Genclerbirligi win | 19% | 17% | 5.00 | fair |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 2 | Half-time score | 2 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Genclerbirligi | Fenerbahce |
|---|---|---|
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.10 | 0.15 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| coach days | 856.00 | 279.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 2.00 | 3.00 |
| elo | 1530.27 | 1802.23 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 30.78 | 42.21 |
| form points (last 5) | 10.00 | 15.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.60 | 2.00 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.20 | 0.60 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.80 | 2.60 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.07 | 0.99 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.80 | 1.00 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.30 | 0.70 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.25 | 0.70 |
| league points | 27.00 | 51.00 |
| league rank | 14.00 | 2.00 |
| matches since blank | 5.00 | 14.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 2.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since win | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| rest days | 9.00 | 9.00 |
| season ppg | 1.17 | 2.22 |
| state index | 0.36 | 1.85 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 0.80 | 2.40 |