← Süper Lig 2010-11 · Sun, Mar 6, 03:00 PM UTC
| Outcome | Market says | Model says | Best price | Verdict |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Eskisehirspor win | 51% | 57% | 1.80 | value: +3% |
| Draw | 28% | 28% | 3.40 | fair |
| Bucaspor win | 21% | 15% | 4.50 | fair |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 0 | Half-time score | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Eskisehirspor | Bucaspor |
|---|---|---|
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.10 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 3.00 | 2.00 |
| elo | 1596.56 | 1459.28 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -6.19 | 3.06 |
| form points (last 5) | 7.00 | 6.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -0.20 | 0.20 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.60 | 1.20 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.40 | 1.40 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.52 | 1.41 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 1.30 | 0.60 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.20 | 0.20 |
| league points | 32.00 | 18.00 |
| league rank | 11.00 | 16.00 |
| matches since blank | 10.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 4.00 | 4.00 |
| matches since win | 1.00 | 2.00 |
| rest days | 8.00 | 9.00 |
| season ppg | 1.39 | 0.78 |
| state index | 0.36 | -0.39 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 2.60 | 0.00 |