← Süper Lig 2010-11 · Fri, Mar 4, 03:00 PM UTC
| Outcome | Market says | Model says | Best price | Verdict |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kayserispor win | 55% | 53% | 1.75 | fair |
| Draw | 26% | 28% | 3.80 | value: +8% |
| Manisaspor win | 19% | 19% | 5.50 | value: +3% |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 0 | Half-time score | 1 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Kayserispor | Manisaspor |
|---|---|---|
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.15 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| coach days | 246.00 | — |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 3.00 | 3.00 |
| elo | 1644.45 | 1530.51 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 10.45 | 10.95 |
| form points (last 5) | 8.00 | 6.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.20 | 0.00 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.20 | 2.20 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.40 | 2.20 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.26 | 1.25 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 1.00 | 1.10 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.80 | 0.20 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.15 | 0.45 |
| league points | 43.00 | 31.00 |
| league rank | 4.00 | 11.00 |
| matches since blank | 2.00 | 10.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 1.00 | 6.00 |
| matches since win | 1.00 | 2.00 |
| rest days | 5.00 | 5.00 |
| season ppg | 1.87 | 1.35 |
| state index | 0.73 | 0.06 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 2.60 | 1.40 |