← Süper Lig 2010-11 · Mon, Feb 28, 03:00 PM UTC
| Outcome | Market says | Model says | Best price | Verdict |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Besiktas win | 45% | 41% | 2.10 | fair |
| Draw | 29% | 31% | 3.25 | fair |
| Antalyaspor win | 26% | 28% | 3.50 | fair |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 0 | Half-time score | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Antalyaspor | Besiktas |
|---|---|---|
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.10 | 0.05 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| coach days | 849.00 | 880.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 2.00 | 2.00 |
| elo | 1533.59 | 1656.88 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -31.78 | -37.05 |
| form points (last 5) | 2.00 | 4.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -1.20 | 0.00 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.60 | 1.80 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 0.40 | 1.80 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.71 | 1.43 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.10 | 0.80 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.00 | 1.00 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.20 | 0.35 |
| league points | 25.00 | 32.00 |
| league rank | 14.00 | 7.00 |
| matches since blank | 0.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 2.00 | 7.00 |
| matches since win | 7.00 | 4.00 |
| rest days | 8.00 | 8.00 |
| season ppg | 1.14 | 1.45 |
| state index | -0.76 | 0.05 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 0.80 | 1.20 |