← Süper Lig 2010-11 · Sun, Feb 27, 03:00 PM UTC
| Outcome | Market says | Model says | Best price | Verdict |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sivasspor win | 40% | 42% | 2.38 | fair |
| Manisaspor win | 32% | 31% | 3.00 | fair |
| Draw | 29% | 27% | 3.25 | fair |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 1 | Half-time score | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Sivasspor | Manisaspor |
|---|---|---|
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.15 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| coach days | 149.00 | — |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 2.00 | 2.00 |
| elo | 1477.88 | 1545.85 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -17.73 | 40.12 |
| form points (last 5) | 1.00 | 9.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -0.80 | 0.80 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.80 | 1.80 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.00 | 2.60 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.42 | 1.40 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.80 | 0.90 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.50 | 0.50 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.10 | 0.45 |
| league points | 16.00 | 31.00 |
| league rank | 16.00 | 11.00 |
| matches since blank | 4.00 | 9.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 6.00 | 5.00 |
| matches since win | 6.00 | 1.00 |
| rest days | 9.00 | 6.00 |
| season ppg | 0.73 | 1.41 |
| state index | -0.62 | 0.68 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.40 | 2.00 |