← Süper Lig 2010-11 · Sun, Feb 27, 03:00 PM UTC
| Outcome | Market says | Model says | Best price | Verdict |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kardemir Karabukspor win | 53% | 59% | 1.75 | value: +4% |
| Draw | 26% | 22% | 3.50 | fair |
| Konyaspor win | 20% | 19% | 4.75 | fair |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 2 | Half-time score | 1 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Kardemir Karabukspor | Konyaspor |
|---|---|---|
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| coach days | 606.00 | 667.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 2.00 | 3.00 |
| elo | 1521.19 | 1448.02 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -17.31 | -18.21 |
| form points (last 5) | 5.00 | 2.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -0.60 | -0.80 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 2.00 | 1.20 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.40 | 0.40 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.51 | 1.03 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 1.10 | 0.60 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.25 | 0.00 |
| league points | 29.00 | 16.00 |
| league rank | 11.00 | 17.00 |
| matches since blank | 3.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 3.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since win | 0.00 | 7.00 |
| rest days | 8.00 | 7.00 |
| season ppg | 1.32 | 0.73 |
| state index | -0.06 | -0.92 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 2.00 | 0.80 |