← Süper Lig 2010-11 · Sat, Feb 26, 03:00 PM UTC
| Outcome | Market says | Model says | Best price | Verdict |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ankaragücü win | 40% | 44% | 2.38 | value: +4% |
| Genclerbirligi win | 31% | 27% | 3.30 | fair |
| Draw | 30% | 29% | 3.20 | fair |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 0 | Half-time score | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Ankaragücü | Genclerbirligi |
|---|---|---|
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.10 | 0.10 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| coach days | 240.00 | 847.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 3.00 | 3.00 |
| elo | 1523.47 | 1512.23 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -16.41 | 3.46 |
| form points (last 5) | 4.00 | 7.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -0.60 | 0.00 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.60 | 1.00 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.00 | 1.00 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.48 | 0.57 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.90 | 0.50 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.20 | 0.80 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.25 | 0.25 |
| league points | 25.00 | 24.00 |
| league rank | 12.00 | 14.00 |
| matches since blank | 10.00 | 4.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 1.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since win | 1.00 | 1.00 |
| rest days | 7.00 | 7.00 |
| season ppg | 1.14 | 1.09 |
| state index | -0.20 | 0.02 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.60 | 1.60 |