← Süper Lig 2010-11 · Mon, Feb 21, 03:00 PM UTC
| Outcome | Market says | Model says | Best price | Verdict |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Trabzonspor win | 49% | 50% | 1.91 | fair |
| Draw | 26% | 28% | 3.50 | fair |
| Manisaspor win | 24% | 22% | 4.10 | fair |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 1 | Half-time score | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Manisaspor | Trabzonspor |
|---|---|---|
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.10 | 0.05 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| coach days | — | 447.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.05 |
| congestion 21d | 2.00 | 2.00 |
| elo | 1552.32 | 1740.31 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 57.54 | -13.66 |
| form points (last 5) | 12.00 | 8.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 1.20 | 0.40 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.40 | 1.00 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 2.60 | 1.40 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.37 | 1.34 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 1.00 | 0.90 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.60 | 0.40 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.40 | 0.40 |
| league points | 31.00 | 47.00 |
| league rank | 9.00 | 2.00 |
| matches since blank | 8.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 4.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since win | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| rest days | 8.00 | 9.00 |
| season ppg | 1.48 | 2.24 |
| state index | 0.92 | 0.97 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.80 | 2.40 |