← Jupiler Pro League 2015-16 · Sun, Mar 13, 03:00 PM UTC
| Outcome | Market says | Model says | Best price | Verdict |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Westerlo win | 53% | 46% | 1.85 | fair |
| Draw | 24% | 24% | 4.06 | fair |
| Waasland-Beveren win | 23% | 30% | 4.20 | value: +28% |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 1 | Half-time score | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Westerlo | Waasland-Beveren |
|---|---|---|
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.15 | 0.05 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| coach days | 1077.00 | — |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.05 |
| congestion 21d | 2.00 | 3.00 |
| elo | 1458.74 | 1487.83 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 11.08 | 19.78 |
| form points (last 5) | 5.00 | 8.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -1.00 | -0.60 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 2.20 | 2.00 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.20 | 1.40 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.85 | 0.97 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 1.00 | 0.80 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.20 | 0.15 |
| league points | 27.00 | 33.00 |
| league rank | 16.00 | 12.00 |
| matches since blank | 2.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 3.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since win | 3.00 | 1.00 |
| rest days | 8.00 | 8.00 |
| season ppg | 0.93 | 1.14 |
| state index | -0.26 | -0.09 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 2.00 | 1.40 |