← Jupiler Pro League 2015-16 · Sun, Mar 13, 03:00 PM UTC
| Outcome | Market says | Model says | Best price | Verdict |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| St Truiden win | 45% | 27% | 2.19 | fair |
| Draw | 29% | 30% | 3.32 | fair |
| Lokeren win | 26% | 43% | 3.75 | value: +63% ⚠ |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 0 | Half-time score | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | St Truiden | Lokeren |
|---|---|---|
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.05 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| coach days | 194.00 | 164.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.10 |
| congestion 21d | 2.00 | 2.00 |
| elo | 1416.44 | 1576.46 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -21.37 | -15.11 |
| form points (last 5) | 3.00 | 5.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -1.80 | -0.40 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 2.40 | 1.60 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 0.60 | 1.20 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.82 | 1.14 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.50 | 0.80 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.20 | 0.80 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.20 |
| league points | 29.00 | 33.00 |
| league rank | 14.00 | 11.00 |
| matches since blank | 0.00 | 2.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 7.00 | 2.00 |
| matches since win | 4.00 | 0.00 |
| rest days | 8.00 | 8.00 |
| season ppg | 1.00 | 1.14 |
| state index | -1.13 | -0.03 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 0.20 | 1.00 |