← Jupiler Pro League 2015-16 · Sun, Mar 13, 03:00 PM UTC
| Outcome | Market says | Model says | Best price | Verdict |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Genk win | 60% | 53% | 1.62 | fair |
| Draw | 23% | 26% | 4.21 | value: +8% |
| Oostende win | 17% | 22% | 5.84 | value: +27% |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 2 | Half-time score | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Genk | Oostende |
|---|---|---|
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.05 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| coach days | 317.00 | 256.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 2.00 | 3.00 |
| elo | 1626.94 | 1591.25 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 19.96 | 8.10 |
| form points (last 5) | 10.00 | 9.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 1.20 | 0.00 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.00 | 1.80 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 2.20 | 1.80 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.81 | 1.70 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.90 | 1.20 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.40 | 0.60 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.30 | 0.25 |
| league points | 45.00 | 49.00 |
| league rank | 5.00 | 4.00 |
| matches since blank | 2.00 | 3.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 2.00 | 4.00 |
| matches since win | 1.00 | 0.00 |
| rest days | 8.00 | 8.00 |
| season ppg | 1.55 | 1.69 |
| state index | 0.98 | 0.19 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 3.00 | 0.80 |