← Jupiler Pro League 2015-16 · Sun, Mar 13, 03:00 PM UTC
| Outcome | Market says | Model says | Best price | Verdict |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Gent win | 47% | 41% | 2.10 | fair |
| Draw | 28% | 30% | 3.48 | value: +3% |
| Charleroi win | 25% | 29% | 3.84 | value: +11% |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 0 | Half-time score | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Charleroi | Gent |
|---|---|---|
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.10 | 0.00 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| coach days | 1016.00 | 651.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.05 |
| congestion 21d | 2.00 | 3.00 |
| elo | 1577.45 | 1726.35 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -30.20 | -29.62 |
| form points (last 5) | 4.00 | 7.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -0.80 | 0.00 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 2.20 | 1.60 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.40 | 1.60 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.06 | 1.14 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.70 | 1.10 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.40 | 0.60 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.20 | 0.45 |
| league points | 38.00 | 59.00 |
| league rank | 9.00 | 2.00 |
| matches since blank | 2.00 | 4.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 7.00 | 3.00 |
| matches since win | 4.00 | 1.00 |
| rest days | 8.00 | 9.00 |
| season ppg | 1.31 | 2.03 |
| state index | -0.29 | 0.33 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.60 | 1.20 |