← Jupiler Pro League 2015-16 · Sun, Mar 13, 03:00 PM UTC
| Outcome | Market says | Model says | Best price | Verdict |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Anderlecht win | 61% | 60% | 1.61 | fair |
| Draw | 22% | 24% | 4.38 | value: +6% |
| Kortrijk win | 17% | 16% | 5.77 | fair |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 1 | Half-time score | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Anderlecht | Kortrijk |
|---|---|---|
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.15 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| coach days | 743.00 | 651.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 3.00 | 2.00 |
| elo | 1715.12 | 1599.01 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -32.42 | 31.80 |
| form points (last 5) | 5.00 | 11.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.20 | 1.20 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.60 | 0.40 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.80 | 1.60 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.07 | 0.99 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.90 | 0.50 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.60 | 0.40 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.30 | 0.50 |
| league points | 52.00 | 39.00 |
| league rank | 3.00 | 8.00 |
| matches since blank | 2.00 | 5.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 3.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since win | 3.00 | 0.00 |
| rest days | 8.00 | 8.00 |
| season ppg | 1.79 | 1.34 |
| state index | 0.39 | 0.66 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 2.20 | 0.80 |